Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 25

Villarreal

VIL

Valencia

VAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Villarreal56%
Draw27%
Valencia17%

Expected goals

1.52 – 0.76

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

42%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–016.1%
  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–011.5%
  • 0–011.2%
  • 2–19.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Villarreal will have the ball; Valencia will not mind.

61%Possession36%
49%Territory32%
16%From set plays22%
0.09Chance quality0.12
4.6%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Villarreal, 3 for Valencia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.