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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 25

Rayo Vallecano

RAY

Getafe

GET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rayo Vallecano48%
Draw30%
Getafe21%

Expected goals

1.31 – 0.80

Over 2.5

35%

Both to score

41%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–016.2%
  • 0–013.4%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 0–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rayo Vallecano will have the ball; Getafe will not mind.

60%Possession39%
44%Territory38%
12%From set plays21%
0.09Chance quality0.08
5.0%Directness10.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rayo Vallecano, 3 for Getafe. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.