Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 25

Málaga

MLA

Real Betis

BET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Málaga25%
Draw27%
Real Betis48%

Expected goals

1.10 – 1.57

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–111.3%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–28.2%
  • 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Betis get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

45%Possession49%
36%Territory44%
6%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.12
3.5%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Málaga, 3 for Real Betis. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.