LaLiga · Matchweek 25
Barcelona
BAR
Levante
LEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barcelona75%
Draw15%
Levante10%
Expected goals
2.74 – 0.97
Over 2.5
71%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–09.5%
- 2–18.9%
- 3–08.3%
- 3–18.2%
- 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barcelona will have the ball; Levante will not mind.
69%Possession44%
52%Territory34%
18%From set plays27%
0.16Chance quality0.09
2.1%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barcelona, 4 for Levante. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.