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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 25

Espanyol

ESP

Osasuna

OSA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Espanyol26%
Draw30%
Osasuna44%

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.27

Over 2.5

38%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–114.3%
  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–012.4%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

37%Possession50%
30%Territory31%
50%From set plays51%
0.05Chance quality0.12
7.6%Directness9.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Espanyol, 2 for Osasuna. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.