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LaLiga · Matchweek 25

Atlético Madrid

ATM

Elche

ELC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atlético Madrid57%
Draw24%
Elche19%

Expected goals

1.76 – 0.94

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.4%
  • 1–111.1%
  • 2–010.2%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Elche will not mind.

60%Possession51%
44%Territory39%
9%From set plays42%
0.07Chance quality0.09
4.4%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlético Madrid, 3 for Elche. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Atlético Madrid

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.