LaLiga · Matchweek 24
Sevilla
SEV
Espanyol
ESP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sevilla42%
Draw31%
Espanyol27%
Expected goals
1.23 – 0.95
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 1–113.3%
- 0–012.7%
- 0–110.6%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Espanyol get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession37%
41%Territory30%
26%From set plays50%
0.07Chance quality0.05
5.6%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sevilla, 3 for Espanyol. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.