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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 24

Real Sociedad

RSO

Real Betis

BET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Sociedad46%
Draw24%
Real Betis29%

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.40

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Sociedad will have the ball; Real Betis will not mind.

60%Possession49%
40%Territory44%
15%From set plays24%
0.11Chance quality0.12
3.4%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad, 3 for Real Betis. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.