LaLiga · Matchweek 24
Osasuna
OSA
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Osasuna37%
Draw30%
Atlético Madrid33%
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.17
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–110.7%
- 0–010.4%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Osasuna will not mind.
45%Possession60%
34%Territory44%
51%From set plays9%
0.09Chance quality0.07
6.8%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Osasuna, 3 for Atlético Madrid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Osasuna
Atlético Madrid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.