LaLiga · Matchweek 24
Levante
LEV
Málaga
MLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Levante52%
Draw26%
Málaga22%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.03
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.9%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Levante get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession45%
34%Territory36%
27%From set plays6%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Levante, 3 for Málaga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.