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LaLiga · Matchweek 24

Elche

ELC

Deportivo A Coruña

DEP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Elche40%
Draw28%
Deportivo A Coruña32%

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.21

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 0–08.8%
  • 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Elche get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession52%
39%Territory43%
42%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.13
6.7%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elche, 3 for Deportivo A Coruña. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Deportivo A Coruña

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.