LaLiga · Matchweek 24
Celta Vigo
CEL
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Vigo41%
Draw30%
Rayo Vallecano29%
Expected goals
1.29 – 1.07
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–012.5%
- 0–010.7%
- 0–110.1%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rayo Vallecano will have the ball; Celta Vigo will not mind.
46%Possession60%
36%Territory44%
15%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.4%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Vigo, 3 for Rayo Vallecano. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.