LaLiga · Matchweek 23
Valencia
VAL
Racing Santander
RAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Valencia56%
Draw25%
Racing Santander19%
Expected goals
1.74 – 0.96
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Racing Santander will have the ball; Valencia will not mind.
36%Possession52%
32%Territory43%
23%From set plays30%
0.13Chance quality0.08
6.4%Directness1.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Valencia, 3 for Racing Santander. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Racing Santander
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.