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LaLiga · Matchweek 23

Getafe

GET

Villarreal

VIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Getafe20%
Draw32%
Villarreal48%

Expected goals

0.69 – 1.20

Over 2.5

29%

Both to score

36%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–118.4%
  • 0–016.5%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–210.3%
  • 1–010.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Villarreal will have the ball; Getafe will not mind.

39%Possession61%
38%Territory49%
21%From set plays16%
0.08Chance quality0.09
10.1%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Getafe, 3 for Villarreal. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.