LaLiga · Matchweek 23
Barcelona
BAR
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barcelona57%
Draw22%
Atlético Madrid20%
Expected goals
2.00 – 1.15
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–08.5%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barcelona will have the ball; Atlético Madrid will not mind.
69%Possession60%
52%Territory44%
18%From set plays9%
0.16Chance quality0.07
2.1%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barcelona, 3 for Atlético Madrid. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlético Madrid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.