LaLiga · Matchweek 23
Espanyol
ESP
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Espanyol31%
Draw30%
Rayo Vallecano39%
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.27
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 0–112.0%
- 0–010.6%
- 1–010.3%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rayo Vallecano will have the ball; Espanyol will not mind.
37%Possession60%
30%Territory44%
50%From set plays12%
0.05Chance quality0.09
7.6%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Espanyol, 3 for Rayo Vallecano. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.