LaLiga · Matchweek 23
Elche
ELC
Levante
LEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elche44%
Draw27%
Levante29%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.23
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.9%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Elche get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession44%
39%Territory34%
42%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.7%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elche, 4 for Levante. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.