LaLiga · Matchweek 23
Deportivo A Coruña
DEP
Málaga
MLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Deportivo A Coruña54%
Draw26%
Málaga20%
Expected goals
1.62 – 0.91
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.4%
- 1–111.7%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Deportivo A Coruña get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession45%
43%Territory36%
27%From set plays6%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Deportivo A Coruña, 3 for Málaga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Deportivo A Coruña
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.