LaLiga · Matchweek 23
Real Betis
BET
Sevilla
SEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Betis51%
Draw26%
Sevilla23%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.04
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.9%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession44%
44%Territory41%
24%From set plays26%
0.12Chance quality0.07
4.9%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Betis, 3 for Sevilla. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.