LaLiga · Matchweek 23
Deportivo Alavés
DEP
Celta Vigo
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Deportivo Alavés36%
Draw32%
Celta Vigo32%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.03
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.6%
- 0–013.5%
- 1–013.1%
- 0–112.3%
- 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
42%Possession46%
38%Territory36%
23%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.12
6.3%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Deportivo Alavés, 3 for Celta Vigo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Deportivo Alavés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.