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LaLiga · Matchweek 22

Villarreal

VIL

Racing Santander

RAC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Villarreal73%
Draw17%
Racing Santander10%

Expected goals

2.34 – 0.77

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–012.4%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 3–09.3%
  • 1–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Villarreal will have the ball; Racing Santander will not mind.

61%Possession52%
49%Territory43%
16%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness1.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Villarreal, 3 for Racing Santander. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Racing Santander

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.