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LaLiga · Matchweek 22

Osasuna

OSA

Deportivo A Coruña

DEO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Osasuna49%
Draw28%
Deportivo A Coruña23%

Expected goals

1.50 – 0.96

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.2%
  • 1–112.3%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 2–09.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

50%Possession46%
31%Territory42%
51%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.10
9.7%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Osasuna, 2 for Deportivo A Coruña. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Deportivo A Coruña

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.