LaLiga · Matchweek 22
Málaga
MLA
Deportivo Alavés
DEO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Málaga29%
Draw29%
Deportivo Alavés42%
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.33
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–112.3%
- 0–010.3%
- 1–09.8%
- 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Deportivo Alavés get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
45%Possession42%
36%Territory38%
6%From set plays23%
0.09Chance quality0.08
3.5%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Málaga, 3 for Deportivo Alavés. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Deportivo Alavés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.