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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 22

Levante

LEV

Real Sociedad

RSO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Levante33%
Draw25%
Real Sociedad42%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.67

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 2–17.6%
  • 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Sociedad will have the ball; Levante will not mind.

44%Possession60%
34%Territory40%
27%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.11
6.2%Directness3.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Levante, 3 for Real Sociedad. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.