LaLiga · Matchweek 22
Celta Vigo
CEL
Getafe
GET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Vigo45%
Draw34%
Getafe21%
Expected goals
1.08 – 0.65
Over 2.5
26%
Both to score
33%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–019.1%
- 0–019.1%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.9%
- 2–09.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession39%
36%Territory38%
15%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.4%Directness10.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Vigo, 3 for Getafe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.