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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 22

Real Betis

BET

Elche

ELC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Betis49%
Draw26%
Elche25%

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.16

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Elche get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession51%
44%Territory39%
24%From set plays42%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Betis, 3 for Elche. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.