LaLiga · Matchweek 22
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Espanyol
ESP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlético Madrid58%
Draw26%
Espanyol16%
Expected goals
1.61 – 0.74
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.9%
- 2–012.1%
- 1–111.3%
- 0–010.4%
- 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Espanyol will not mind.
60%Possession37%
44%Territory30%
9%From set plays50%
0.07Chance quality0.05
4.4%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlético Madrid, 3 for Espanyol. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atlético Madrid
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.