LaLiga · Matchweek 21
Valencia
VAL
Sevilla
SEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Valencia43%
Draw30%
Sevilla26%
Expected goals
1.27 – 0.95
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.0%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–012.1%
- 0–110.2%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sevilla will have the ball; Valencia will not mind.
36%Possession44%
32%Territory41%
22%From set plays26%
0.12Chance quality0.07
6.4%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Valencia, 3 for Sevilla. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.