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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 21

Real Sociedad

RSO

Málaga

MLA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Sociedad64%
Draw20%
Málaga15%

Expected goals

2.16 – 1.00

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.0%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 1–19.2%
  • 3–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Sociedad will have the ball; Málaga will not mind.

60%Possession45%
40%Territory36%
15%From set plays6%
0.11Chance quality0.09
3.4%Directness3.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad, 3 for Málaga. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.