LaLiga · Matchweek 21
Racing Santander
RAC
Celta Vigo
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Racing Santander25%
Draw28%
Celta Vigo47%
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.49
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–112.3%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–09.0%
- 0–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession46%
43%Territory36%
30%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.12
1.7%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Racing Santander, 3 for Celta Vigo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Racing Santander
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.