LaLiga · Matchweek 21
Getafe
GET
Osasuna
OSA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Getafe25%
Draw33%
Osasuna42%
Expected goals
0.80 – 1.10
Over 2.5
30%
Both to score
38%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–116.6%
- 0–016.5%
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Osasuna get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
39%Possession45%
38%Territory34%
21%From set plays51%
0.08Chance quality0.09
10.1%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Getafe, 3 for Osasuna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.