LaLiga · Matchweek 21
Espanyol
ESP
Villarreal
VIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Espanyol20%
Draw29%
Villarreal50%
Expected goals
0.80 – 1.38
Over 2.5
37%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–115.9%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–012.4%
- 0–210.3%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Villarreal will have the ball; Espanyol will not mind.
37%Possession61%
30%Territory49%
50%From set plays16%
0.05Chance quality0.09
7.6%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Espanyol, 3 for Villarreal. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.