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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 21

Elche

ELC

Rayo Vallecano

RAY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Elche37%
Draw27%
Rayo Vallecano35%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.38

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 0–18.7%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rayo Vallecano will have the ball; Elche will not mind.

51%Possession60%
39%Territory44%
42%From set plays12%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.7%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elche, 3 for Rayo Vallecano. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.