LaLiga · Matchweek 21
Deportivo Alavés
DEP
Barcelona
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Deportivo Alavés19%
Draw22%
Barcelona59%
Expected goals
1.11 – 2.02
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.9%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–28.9%
- 1–36.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barcelona will have the ball; Deportivo Alavés will not mind.
42%Possession69%
38%Territory52%
23%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.16
6.3%Directness2.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Deportivo Alavés, 3 for Barcelona. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Deportivo Alavés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.