LaLiga · Matchweek 20
Villarreal
VIL
Deportivo Alavés
DEO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Villarreal57%
Draw26%
Deportivo Alavés17%
Expected goals
1.62 – 0.81
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.8%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–011.2%
- 0–09.7%
- 2–19.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Villarreal will have the ball; Deportivo Alavés will not mind.
61%Possession42%
49%Territory38%
16%From set plays23%
0.09Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Villarreal, 3 for Deportivo Alavés. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Villarreal
Deportivo Alavés
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.