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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 20

Rayo Vallecano

RAY

Sevilla

SEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Rayo Vallecano49%
Draw27%
Sevilla24%

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.06

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–011.7%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Rayo Vallecano will have the ball; Sevilla will not mind.

60%Possession44%
44%Territory41%
12%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.07
5.0%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rayo Vallecano, 3 for Sevilla. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.