LaLiga · Matchweek 20
Racing Santander
RAC
Osasuna
OSA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Racing Santander21%
Draw24%
Osasuna55%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.80
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 0–110.8%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.0%
- 0–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Osasuna get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession45%
43%Territory34%
30%From set plays51%
0.08Chance quality0.09
1.7%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Racing Santander, 3 for Osasuna. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Racing Santander
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Osasuna
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.