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LaLiga · Matchweek 20

Levante

LEV

Espanyol

ESP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Levante44%
Draw29%
Espanyol27%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.01

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.1%
  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–010.6%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Espanyol get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

44%Possession37%
34%Territory30%
27%From set plays50%
0.09Chance quality0.05
6.2%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Levante, 3 for Espanyol. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.