LaLiga · Matchweek 20
Barcelona
BAR
Elche
ELC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Barcelona74%
Draw16%
Elche11%
Expected goals
2.66 – 0.99
Over 2.5
70%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–09.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 3–18.1%
- 3–08.1%
- 1–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Barcelona will have the ball; Elche will not mind.
69%Possession51%
52%Territory39%
18%From set plays42%
0.16Chance quality0.09
2.1%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Barcelona, 3 for Elche. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.