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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 20

Celta Vigo

CEL

Valencia

VAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celta Vigo42%
Draw32%
Valencia26%

Expected goals

1.16 – 0.87

Over 2.5

33%

Both to score

41%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.5%
  • 0–014.7%
  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–111.2%
  • 2–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celta Vigo will have the ball; Valencia will not mind.

46%Possession36%
36%Territory32%
15%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.13
4.4%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Celta Vigo, 3 for Valencia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.