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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 20

Real Betis

BET

Deportivo A Coruña

DEO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Betis46%
Draw27%
Deportivo A Coruña27%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.12

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 0–08.1%
  • 0–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

49%Possession46%
44%Territory42%
24%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.10
4.9%Directness5.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Betis, 2 for Deportivo A Coruña. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Deportivo A Coruña

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.