LaLiga · Matchweek 19
Valencia
VAL
Málaga
MLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Valencia52%
Draw28%
Málaga20%
Expected goals
1.49 – 0.85
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.8%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–010.7%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Málaga will have the ball; Valencia will not mind.
36%Possession45%
32%Territory36%
23%From set plays6%
0.13Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Valencia, 3 for Málaga. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.