LaLiga · Matchweek 19
Valencia
VAL
Málaga
MLA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Valencia48%
Draw28%
Málaga24%
Expected goals
1.46 – 0.97
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.3%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–09.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–08.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Málaga get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession50%
31%Territory37%
13%From set plays39%
0.11Chance quality0.09
4.8%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Valencia, 4 for Málaga.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.