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LaLiga · Matchweek 19

Sevilla

SEV

Celta Vigo

CEL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sevilla37%
Draw32%
Celta Vigo30%

Expected goals

1.10 – 0.97

Over 2.5

34%

Both to score

43%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0014.2%
  • 1014.0%
  • 1113.6%
  • 0112.1%
  • 217.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Celta Vigo will have the ball; Sevilla will not mind.

45%Possession55%
48%Territory48%
41%From set plays12%
0.07Chance quality0.08
7.7%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Sevilla, 4 for Celta Vigo.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.