LaLiga · Matchweek 19
Sevilla
SEV
Celta Vigo
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sevilla32%
Draw32%
Celta Vigo36%
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.10
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.6%
- 0–013.4%
- 0–113.1%
- 1–012.2%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
44%Possession46%
41%Territory36%
26%From set plays15%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.6%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sevilla, 3 for Celta Vigo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 109 matches, not the full season.