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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 19

Real Madrid

RMA

Levante

LEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Madrid76%
Draw14%
Levante9%

Expected goals

2.86 – 0.99

Over 2.5

73%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-1.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–09.1%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 3–08.3%
  • 3–18.3%
  • 1–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Madrid will have the ball; Levante will not mind.

54%Possession34%
46%Territory29%
19%From set plays18%
0.15Chance quality0.14
4.8%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Real Madrid, 3 for Levante. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.