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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 19

Real Madrid

RMA

Levante

LEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Madrid76%
Draw15%
Levante9%

Expected goals

2.60 – 0.81

Over 2.5

66%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-1.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.4%
  • 3–09.5%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Madrid will have the ball; Levante will not mind.

52%Possession44%
37%Territory34%
5%From set plays27%
0.17Chance quality0.09
7.0%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Madrid, 4 for Levante. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 109 matches, not the full season.