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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 19

Osasuna

OSA

Barcelona

BAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Osasuna22%
Draw23%
Barcelona55%

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.97

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–18.7%
  • 0–27.9%
  • 1–36.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Barcelona will have the ball; Osasuna will not mind.

46%Possession69%
34%Territory52%
40%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.16
8.3%Directness2.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Osasuna, 3 for Barcelona. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 109 matches, not the full season.