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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 19

Osasuna

OSA

Barcelona

BAR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Osasuna18%
Draw21%
Barcelona61%

Expected goals

1.13 – 2.14

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.9%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 0–28.8%
  • 0–18.7%
  • 1–37.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Barcelona will have the ball; Osasuna will not mind.

47%Possession72%
35%Territory53%
28%From set plays16%
0.16Chance quality0.18
8.5%Directness2.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Osasuna, 4 for Barcelona.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.