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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 19

Espanyol

ESP

Real Betis

BET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Espanyol30%
Draw30%
Real Betis41%

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.29

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–112.3%
  • 0–010.5%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Betis will have the ball; Espanyol will not mind.

37%Possession49%
30%Territory44%
50%From set plays24%
0.05Chance quality0.12
7.6%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Espanyol, 3 for Real Betis. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 109 matches, not the full season.