Skip to content

LaLiga · Matchweek 19

Espanyol

ESP

Real Betis

BET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Espanyol37%
Draw27%
Real Betis36%

Expected goals

1.40 – 1.39

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 109.0%
  • 018.9%
  • 218.2%
  • 128.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession54%
36%Territory45%
22%From set plays36%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.9%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Espanyol, 4 for Real Betis.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.