LaLiga · Matchweek 19
Atlético Madrid
ATM
Racing Santander
RAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atlético Madrid72%
Draw17%
Racing Santander11%
Expected goals
2.52 – 0.95
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.5%
- 3–08.1%
- 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Atlético Madrid will have the ball; Racing Santander will not mind.
59%Possession45%
42%Territory30%
19%From set plays20%
0.11Chance quality0.19
5.2%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Atlético Madrid, 4 for Racing Santander.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.