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LaLiga · Matchweek 19

Atlético Madrid

ATM

Racing Santander

RAC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atlético Madrid70%
Draw18%
Racing Santander11%

Expected goals

2.28 – 0.85

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.5%
  • 1–010.6%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 3–08.4%
  • 1–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Racing Santander get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

60%Possession52%
44%Territory43%
9%From set plays30%
0.07Chance quality0.08
4.4%Directness1.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atlético Madrid, 3 for Racing Santander. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.