LaLiga · Matchweek 18
Villarreal
VIL
Sevilla
SEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Villarreal53%
Draw26%
Sevilla21%
Expected goals
1.66 – 0.99
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.4%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Villarreal will have the ball; Sevilla will not mind.
66%Possession45%
53%Territory48%
29%From set plays41%
0.13Chance quality0.07
4.0%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Villarreal, 4 for Sevilla.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.