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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 18

Real Sociedad

RSO

Osasuna

OSA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Sociedad41%
Draw26%
Osasuna33%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.37

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

60%Possession50%
40%Territory31%
15%From set plays51%
0.11Chance quality0.12
3.4%Directness9.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Sociedad, 2 for Osasuna. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.