LaLiga · Matchweek 18
Real Sociedad
RSO
Osasuna
OSA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Real Sociedad43%
Draw28%
Osasuna29%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.17
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession47%
42%Territory35%
33%From set plays28%
0.06Chance quality0.16
5.8%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Real Sociedad, 4 for Osasuna.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Real Sociedad
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Osasuna
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.