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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 18

Real Madrid

RMA

Getafe

GET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Madrid71%
Draw20%
Getafe9%

Expected goals

1.98 – 0.57

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

38%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–016.0%
  • 2–015.3%
  • 3–09.8%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Madrid will have the ball; Getafe will not mind.

54%Possession37%
46%Territory41%
19%From set plays24%
0.15Chance quality0.06
4.8%Directness9.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Real Madrid, 4 for Getafe.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 32 of 59 matches, not the full season.