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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

LaLiga · Matchweek 18

Real Madrid

RMA

Getafe

GET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Real Madrid72%
Draw19%
Getafe8%

Expected goals

2.02 – 0.56

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

38%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.9%
  • 2–015.5%
  • 3–010.1%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Real Madrid will have the ball; Getafe will not mind.

52%Possession39%
37%Territory38%
5%From set plays21%
0.17Chance quality0.08
7.0%Directness10.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Real Madrid, 3 for Getafe. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 108 matches, not the full season.